CaliforniaReservoir, 965 acres, San Diego County
El Capitan Reservoir wind forecast

7-day outlook
Daylight hours, 8am to 7pm local time. Wind in knots.
-
TodayOct 26
1-9kt
WNW, gusts 16
High 80°F, rain 0%
Use caution -
TueOct 27
1-7kt
W, gusts 13
High 77°F, rain 0%
Use caution -
WedOct 28
2-6kt
WSW, gusts 12
High 73°F, rain 0%
Use caution -
ThuOct 29
3-7kt
WSW, gusts 15
High 71°F, rain 6%
Good -
FriOct 30
4-8kt
WSW, gusts 19
High 68°F, rain 36%
Use caution -
SatOct 31
4-7kt
SW, gusts 17
High 66°F, rain 26%
Use caution -
SunNov 1
5-8kt
WSW, gusts 21
High 65°F, rain 74%
Use caution
Hour by hour, next 3 days
This week on El Capitan
Over the next 7 days on El Capitan Reservoir, the windiest stretch looks like Sunday, with gusts to about 21 kt. Wednesday is the calmest day in the outlook, topping out near 6 kt.
Thursday is the pick for sailing, and Wednesday looks best for kayaks and paddleboards. Mornings are usually calmer than afternoons, so check the hourly strip for the exact window.
Reading a lake wind forecast
Sustained wind is the average over a couple of minutes; gusts are the short peaks. On inland water the gap between the two matters as much as the average. A steady 12 kt is a pleasant sail, while 8 kt gusting 20 kt knocks small boats flat and tires out paddlers.
On a lake the size of El Capitan, waves stay modest, but nearby hills, trees and buildings bend the wind. Expect shifts and puffs, especially close to shore, and treat the forecast speed as an average across open water.
The National Weather Service forecast covers a 2.5 km grid, so local effects like a sea breeze off a big lake, a cold front or afternoon thunderstorms can arrive earlier or stronger than shown. Check the forecast again on the morning you go, and keep an eye on small craft advisories.
El Capitan Reservoir forecast questions
What is the wind forecast for El Capitan Reservoir this weekend?
In the National Weather Service forecast from October 26: Saturday: SW wind 4 to 7 kt, gusts to 17 kt, high near 66°F. Sunday: WSW wind 5 to 8 kt, gusts to 21 kt, high near 65°F, 74% chance of rain. The live cards above always show the latest update.
When is the best day to sail on El Capitan Reservoir this week?
Based on the National Weather Service forecast from October 26, Thursday looks best, with WSW wind around 3 to 7 kt and gusts near 15 kt. Forecasts beyond three days shift, so check the live day cards above and look again the night before.
Where does the El Capitan Reservoir wind forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service gridded forecast for the 2.5 km cell over the lake. It is the same forecast local NWS offices use, updated several times a day. We convert wind to knots and add our own go or no-go call for each activity.
What wind is too strong for a kayak or paddleboard?
We flag paddling as risky once sustained wind passes about 8 kt or gusts pass 12 kt, and advise staying ashore above 12 kt sustained or 18 kt gusts. Offshore wind is the most dangerous because it pushes you away from the launch.
Nearby lakes
If El Capitan is blown out, these are the closest alternatives. Tap through for their wind forecasts.
- San Vicente ReservoirReservoir, 1,518 ac, California7 mi
- Lower Otay LakeReservoir, 1,015 ac, California20 mi
- Lake HenshawReservoir, 1,754 ac, California25 mi
- Vail LakeReservoir, 470 ac, California43 mi
- Lake SkinnerReservoir, 1,409 ac, California51 mi
- Diamond Valley LakeReservoir, 4,448 ac, California57 mi