TennesseeNatural lake, 1,459 acres, Shelby County
Lake McKellar wind forecast
7-day outlook
Daylight hours, 8am to 7pm local time. Wind in knots.
-
TodayOct 26
2-4kt
SE, gusts 7
High 72°F, rain 0%
Light wind -
TueOct 27
2-3kt
SE, gusts 6
High 73°F, rain 0%
Light wind -
WedOct 28
3-4kt
SSE, gusts 9
High 75°F, rain 0%
Light wind -
ThuOct 29
2-4kt
SSE, gusts 8
High 76°F, rain 0%
Light wind -
FriOct 30
2-4kt
ESE, gusts 9
High 74°F, rain 6%
Light wind -
SatOct 31
4-6kt
SE, gusts 11
High 73°F, storms possible
Stay ashore -
SunNov 1
4-6kt
SE, gusts 12
High 74°F, rain 39%
Good
Hour by hour, next 3 days
This week on McKellar
Over the next 7 days on Lake McKellar, the windiest stretch looks like Sunday, with gusts to about 12 kt. Tuesday is the calmest day in the outlook, topping out near 3 kt.
Sunday is the pick for sailing, and Monday looks best for kayaks and paddleboards. Mornings are usually calmer than afternoons, so check the hourly strip for the exact window.
Thunderstorms are in the forecast for Saturday. Plan to be off the water before the first rumble; lightning can strike miles ahead of a storm.
Reading a lake wind forecast
Sustained wind is the average over a couple of minutes; gusts are the short peaks. On inland water the gap between the two matters as much as the average. A steady 12 kt is a pleasant sail, while 8 kt gusting 20 kt knocks small boats flat and tires out paddlers.
On a lake the size of McKellar, waves stay modest, but nearby hills, trees and buildings bend the wind. Expect shifts and puffs, especially close to shore, and treat the forecast speed as an average across open water.
The National Weather Service forecast covers a 2.5 km grid, so local effects like a sea breeze off a big lake, a cold front or afternoon thunderstorms can arrive earlier or stronger than shown. Check the forecast again on the morning you go, and keep an eye on small craft advisories.
Lake McKellar forecast questions
What is the wind forecast for Lake McKellar this weekend?
In the National Weather Service forecast from October 26: Saturday: SE wind 4 to 6 kt, gusts to 11 kt, high near 73°F, thunderstorms possible. Sunday: SE wind 4 to 6 kt, gusts to 12 kt, high near 74°F. The live cards above always show the latest update.
When is the best day to sail on Lake McKellar this week?
Based on the National Weather Service forecast from October 26, Sunday looks best, with SE wind around 4 to 6 kt and gusts near 12 kt. Forecasts beyond three days shift, so check the live day cards above and look again the night before.
Where does the Lake McKellar wind forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service gridded forecast for the 2.5 km cell over the lake. It is the same forecast local NWS offices use, updated several times a day. We convert wind to knots and add our own go or no-go call for each activity.
What wind is too strong for a kayak or paddleboard?
We flag paddling as risky once sustained wind passes about 8 kt or gusts pass 12 kt, and advise staying ashore above 12 kt sustained or 18 kt gusts. Offshore wind is the most dangerous because it pushes you away from the launch.
Nearby lakes
If McKellar is blown out, these are the closest alternatives. Tap through for their wind forecasts.